TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader sentiment and often diverge from traditional Wall Street analyst price targets. While equity analysts publish quarterly earnings estimates and 12-month outlooks, prediction markets price a specific weekly close, creating a narrower and more time-bound forecast. Traders on Polymarket incorporate breaking news, technical levels, and macroeconomic shifts faster than consensus revisions. Comparing the market's implied probability to analyst consensus can reveal whether traders expect Apple to outperform or underperform published guidance during that particular week in June 2026.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Apple weekly close is priced as a set of outcome shares, each representing a specific price bracket or range. Traders buy and sell these shares at odds that reflect the perceived probability of that outcome occurring by market close on Jun 12, 2026. The price of each share moves between 0 and 1 cent based on supply and demand. Higher-priced shares indicate stronger trader conviction. Volume and liquidity vary by outcome, so tighter spreads typically appear on the most-traded price levels, while wider spreads may exist on extreme or less-popular outcomes.
The market resolves at Jun 12, 2026, marking the end of the trading week of June 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by where Apple's stock price closes on the final trading day of that week. The winning outcome is the price bracket or range that contains the official closing price reported by the exchange. All shares corresponding to the correct outcome are worth their full value, while incorrect outcomes expire worthless. Traders who hold winning shares receive their payout automatically upon resolution.
Apple's weekly close can be influenced by earnings announcements, product launches, regulatory developments, and broader tech sector momentum. Macroeconomic data—interest rates, inflation reports, consumer spending—often drive large-cap stock moves. Supply chain disruptions, competitive threats, or management changes can trigger volatility. Quarterly guidance revisions and analyst upgrades or downgrades may shift trader positioning. Short-term technical levels and options expiry dynamics can also create price pressure near week-end. Geopolitical events affecting semiconductor supply or trade policy may impact Apple's near-term trajectory heading into that specific June week.