TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they aggregate real-money bets from traders with direct financial exposure, whereas analyst forecasts reflect research reports and consensus estimates. This market embeds forward-looking trader conviction about Apple's closing price, which may price in recent earnings surprises, macroeconomic shifts, or sector momentum that analysts have not yet fully incorporated. Comparing the leading outcome odds to published analyst ranges can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than the consensus view. Both signals are useful: markets capture dynamic, incentivized opinion, while analysts provide detailed fundamental analysis.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the final closing price for Apple stock during the week of June 22–26 is confirmed and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by matching the official closing price to the correct price band. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution is typically swift after market close on the final trading day, provided the price data is publicly available and unambiguous.
Quarterly earnings announcements, product launches, regulatory news, and macroeconomic data releases—such as inflation reports or interest-rate decisions—can shift trader expectations for Apple's stock price. Sector-wide moves in technology stocks, changes in supply-chain conditions, and shifts in consumer demand also influence the odds. Intraweek volatility or large institutional trades may trigger rapid repricing across the different price bands. Geopolitical events or competitor announcements can introduce sudden uncertainty. Traders monitor these catalysts closely and adjust positions accordingly, so watch financial news and Apple's investor relations calendar for potential market movers.