TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Apple (AAPL) closes week of Jul 27 at ___?
polymarket

Apple (AAPL) closes week of Jul 27 at ___?

Volume:
$6,531

<$310

 - Polymarket

<$310 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 4:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<$310

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$310-$315

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$315-$320

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$320-$325

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$355

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$325-$330

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$330-$335

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$335-$340

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$340-$345

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$345-$350

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$350-$355

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the AAPL weekly close market tracks real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume of $332. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing Apple’s stock performance for the week ending July 27. The interface updates continuously, letting users monitor shifts in market sentiment and trading activity as the week progresses toward Jul 31, 2026.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of investor sentiment. While analysts may issue targets based on earnings, product cycles, or macroeconomic factors, traders adjust positions daily based on news, intraday moves, and speculation. This can lead to divergence — for example, a surge in odds might precede analyst upgrades — but both sources often converge close to major earnings releases or product announcements.

This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Apple’s closing price for the week of July 27 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement uses the official exchange close, ensuring an objective, transparent result. Traders need to watch the market closely as the week progresses, since any last-day volatility can dramatically shift payouts right before resolution.

Key signals that could move this market include Apple’s earnings report, product announcements, supply chain updates, or broader tech-sector volatility. Federal Reserve policy decisions, market-wide risk sentiment, and major news affecting investor appetite for large-cap stocks also play a role. Traders should monitor earnings calendars, Apple press releases, and real-time market data — sudden shifts in any of these areas may cause rapid re-pricing of odds.