TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Apple (AAPL) closes week of Aug 17 at ___?
polymarket

Apple (AAPL) closes week of Aug 17 at ___?

Volume:
$12,960

$305-$310

 - Polymarket

$305-$310 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 6:25 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$305-$310

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$310-$315

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$300-$305

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$285

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$285-$290

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$290-$295

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$295-$300

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$315-$320

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$320-$325

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$325-$330

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$330

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Apple’s closing price. While analysts may publish target prices or trend assessments, this market aggregates trader behavior and can react instantly to news, earnings reports, or broader market shifts, often showing different biases or confidence levels.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the price through their bets, reflecting the expected closing value of Apple stock for the specified week. The current probability indicates the market’s forecast for the most likely outcome, with price fluctuations driven by new trading activity, volume of $12,960, and shifts in investor sentiment. As more participants place bets, the odds adjust dynamically, offering a real-time barometer of collective prediction for the AAPL weekly close market.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will match the actual closing price of Apple for the week of Aug 17, as recorded from authoritative financial data sources at that time.

Several signals could influence this market before Aug 21, 2026, including Apple’s earnings reports, product announcements, broader market trends, and macroeconomic indicators such as interest rate decisions or tech-sector performance. News headlines about supply chain disruptions, regulatory developments, or significant stock buybacks could also shift trader expectations. As these events unfold, volume and price action on Polymarket will likely reflect updated probabilities for the week’s closing level.