TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on July 10?
polymarket

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on July 10?

Volume:
$1,373

$315

 - Polymarket

$315 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$315

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$310

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$305

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$320

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on July 10, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on July 10, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The AAPL stock price market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this binary prediction on Apple's closing stock price. Traders can monitor current implied probability, recent trading activity, and liquidity depth to understand how the market is pricing the likelihood of Apple closing above the specified threshold on the event date. The dashboard displays order book data and lets participants view the consensus forecast as it evolves, giving a transparent window into collective market expectations around Apple's near-term performance.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money incentives and live market sentiment rather than periodic research updates. While Wall Street analysts publish quarterly or event-driven forecasts, this market aggregates continuous trading signals from participants betting on Apple's actual close. Prediction markets tend to incorporate breaking news and intraday momentum faster than formal analyst revisions, making them a complementary data source for gauging near-term stock direction alongside consensus estimates.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that pay out based on the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective willingness of participants to risk capital on Apple closing above the target level, with each trade updating the implied probability in real time. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices move, and the final odds visible on the dashboard represent the marginal price at which the last trade occurred.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Apple's official closing price for that trading day is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution is binary: if Apple closes above the specified price level, the outcome is yes; otherwise, it is no. Participants should monitor market hours and any corporate actions or announcements that could affect the final close, as the resolution hinges entirely on the verified closing price at market end.

Key catalysts include Apple earnings reports, product announcements, macroeconomic data affecting tech valuations, and broader market sentiment shifts. Geopolitical developments, changes in interest rates, and competitor news can also influence investor appetite for Apple shares. Intraday trading volume and volatility spikes often precede the close, so late-session momentum and options expiration dynamics may create sharp price swings. Traders should watch financial news and Apple's official communications for material updates that could shift the probability of closing above the target.