TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Financials
Anthropic’s valuation end of August 2026?
polymarket

Anthropic’s valuation end of August 2026?

Volume:
$2,844

$1.25-$1.50T

 - Polymarket

$1.25-$1.50T - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 3:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$1.25-$1.50T

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$1.00-$1.25T

0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$500B

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$500-$750B

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2.25T+

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$750B-$1.00T

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.50-$1.75T

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.75-$2.00T

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2.00-$2.25T

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for the last trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for the last trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market sentiment. Where analysts may offer detailed reports based on financial metrics and projections, this market aggregates trader beliefs continuously. The gap between the two can widen or narrow depending on recent news, earnings reports, or broader tech-sector trends that shift investor confidence.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final valuation will be determined by authoritative financial disclosures or widely accepted business valuations published after that date, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major announcements such as funding rounds, product launches, executive changes, or regulatory developments surrounding Anthropic may cause rapid price swings. Broader economic factors affecting tech valuations, including interest rate decisions or market-wide risk sentiment, can also influence trader behavior and push odds toward different outcomes as Aug 31, 2026 approaches.