TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Anthropic share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$20,846

Above 34.8%

 - Kalshi

Above 34.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 34.8%

View
100%
98%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,173
N/A
N/A
$2,122
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 42.6%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,100
N/A
N/A
$4,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 44.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,901
N/A
N/A
$2,901
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,500
N/A
N/A
$2,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 50.4%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,187
N/A
N/A
$2,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 48.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,175
N/A
N/A
$2,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 53.8%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 46.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,510
N/A
N/A
$1,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.6%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
$1,300
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

The market assesses whether Anthropic's portion of total AI compute spending via Vercel will surpass specific thresholds on October 4, 2026. It reflects potential shifts in AI development resource allocation among leading research institutions.

Kalshi

Multiple outcome thresholds are defined for the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across top labs on Oct 4, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the measured share exceeds any specified threshold. Values are rounded to one decimal place, with verification occurring at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 5, 2026, using an updated chart. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.