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Anthropic share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What is Anthropic’s share of spend on Oct 22, 2026?

Volume:
$25,286

Above 34.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 34.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 34.5%

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,584
N/A
N/A
$4,307
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 32.4%

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,556
N/A
N/A
$4,487
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 30.6%

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,513
N/A
N/A
$2,111
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 35.2%

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,163
N/A
N/A
$6,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 42.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,449
N/A
N/A
$2,386
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 37.1%

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,421
N/A
N/A
$1,421
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 41.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 42.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to Anthropic through Vercel by leading research institutions on a specific date. It reflects potential trends in AI infrastructure adoption and collaboration patterns among top labs. The outcome depends on whether Anthropic's share surpasses various percentage thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for October 22, 2026. The share is measured and rounded to one decimal place. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on October 23, 2026, using the updated chart value for the previous day's spend. Each market has a specific threshold; if the measured share exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. All markets operate independently with distinct percentage requirements ranging from 30.6% to 42.8%. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Anthropic Vercel spend market tracks the current odds of various outcomes, reflecting what traders believe about Anthropic’s share of spend with Vercel as of October 22, 2026. You can view the price history to see how sentiment has shifted over time, and the 24-hour volume—currently $23,750—indicates how actively this market is being traded. Total volume for this market is $25,223. This provides a real-time view of collective predictions regarding this specific expenditure.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for Anthropic’s Vercel spend. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts. This market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating insights from individuals with diverse knowledge. If analysts predict a certain percentage, it will be interesting to see if this market’s probabilities align, diverge, or offer a different perspective on the likely outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own assessments, leading to a dynamic and evolving price. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation of Anthropic’s Vercel spend on the specified date.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on publicly available data regarding Anthropic’s reported spend with Vercel as of October 22, 2026. The specific percentage of spend will be determined by the data available at that time, and the market will settle to the closest corresponding outcome. Traders should monitor relevant news and announcements leading up to the resolution date.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Anthropic or Vercel regarding their partnership, changes in Anthropic’s overall cloud spending strategy, or significant developments in the AI landscape could all impact trader sentiment. News about competing AI companies and their cloud provider choices could also influence this market. Additionally, broader economic conditions and trends in the cloud computing market may play a role in shaping expectations about Anthropic’s Vercel spend.