TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Anthropic share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will Anthropic's share be?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$4,286
Volume 24h:
$1,834
25%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$3,137
29%

Above 28.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 28.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 15h:06m:14s

Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 28.9%

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 28.9%

Trade
99%
31%
Yes 100¢No 11¢
11¢
N/A
$1,173
50%
N/A
$638
15h 6m
Active
kalshi

Above 32.4%

Trade
99%
38%
Yes 100¢No 11¢
11¢
N/A
$433
8%
N/A
$419
15h 6m
Active
kalshi

Above 29.4%

Trade
99%
33%
Yes 100¢No 11¢
11¢
N/A
$682
268%
N/A
$654
15h 6m
Active
kalshi

Above 34.1%

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 10¢
9¢
N/A
$618
37%
N/A
$618
15h 6m
Active
kalshi

Above 31.1%

Trade
98%
34%
Yes 99¢No 11¢
10¢
N/A
$265
77%
N/A
$265
15h 6m
Active
kalshi

Above 37.5%

Trade
10%
Yes 9¢No 99¢
8¢
N/A
$1,101
127%
N/A
$529
15h 6m
Active
kalshi

Above 36.6%

Trade
1%
Yes 11¢No 100¢
11¢
N/A
$14
0%
N/A
$14
15h 6m
Active
kalshi

Above 40.8%

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
15h 6m
Active
kalshi

Above 41.4%

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
15h 6m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to Anthropic through Vercel by leading research institutions in early November 2026. It reflects potential shifts in strategic priorities among major AI labs regarding their infrastructure and model development partnerships.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for November 2, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. The determining value will be captured at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026, using the updated chart data. Each market has a specific threshold: if the measured share exceeds the respective threshold (ranging from 28.9% to 41.4%), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently under these consistent measurement and timing rules.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Anthropic Vercel spend market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $1,834 and the total volume traded to date is $4,286. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, providing insight into what traders believe about Anthropic's share of spend with Vercel on November 2, 2026. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to this specific forecast.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for Anthropic’s Vercel spend. However, generally, prediction markets can offer a different perspective than traditional polls or expert opinions. Analysts often rely on models and assumptions, while this market reflects the collective judgment of individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies between the two could indicate areas where the market anticipates different outcomes or has access to information not yet reflected in public analysis. It's a unique way to gauge expectations surrounding AI spending.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for Anthropic’s share of spend with Vercel. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the resolution date approaches. The current top outcome is Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 31.1%.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on Anthropic’s actual spend with Vercel as reported by Vercel, and will represent the percentage of total AI Gateway spend across the top labs. The specific methodology for calculating this share will be determined by Kalshi and publicly available at the time of resolution. Traders should review the market rules on Kalshi for complete details regarding the resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Anthropic regarding their AI development plans or partnerships, particularly those involving Vercel, would be key catalysts. Changes in the overall AI landscape, such as shifts in market share among leading AI labs or significant advancements in AI technology, could also impact expectations. Additionally, any news regarding Vercel’s AI Gateway platform, including adoption rates or new features, could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected economic conditions or regulatory changes impacting AI investment could also play a role.