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Anthropic share of requests on Oct 6, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What is Anthropic’s share of requests on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$12,117

Above 5.1%

 - Kalshi

Above 5.1% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,086
N/A
N/A
$2,086
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.7%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,719
N/A
N/A
$1,719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,486
N/A
N/A
$1,486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 8.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,825
N/A
N/A
$1,823
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,700
N/A
N/A
$1,700
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 10.4%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,700
N/A
N/A
$1,700
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,601
N/A
N/A
$1,601
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.5%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.6%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the performance of Anthropic's AI models on Vercel's platform by measuring the proportion of AI processing requests handled by Anthropic across leading research institutions on a specific date. It reflects potential shifts in preference among advanced AI systems used for complex tasks. The outcome depends on whether Anthropic's share exceeds various percentage thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on October 6, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi will determine the outcome at 10:00 AM ET on October 7, 2026, using the updated chart value for that date. Each market has a specific threshold—ranging from 5.1% to 10.4%—and resolves to 'Yes' only if Anthropic's share exceeds its respective threshold. All markets operate independently, meaning a higher threshold market can resolve as 'No' even if a lower threshold market resolves as 'Yes.' Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Anthropic request share market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $12,117 and total volume to date is $12,117. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about Anthropic’s share of requests on October 6, 2026, through these prices. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how these beliefs are evolving over time, allowing you to see shifts in market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to this specific forecast.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or analyst reports, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and anticipating shifts in sentiment more quickly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. It's valuable to consider both sources when forming a comprehensive view of the likely outcome for Anthropic’s request share in 2026.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the contract price is to 100, the higher the implied probability of Anthropic achieving that request share. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements and a constantly updated forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on Vercel’s publicly reported data regarding the percentage of requests handled by Anthropic on October 6, 2026. This data will be assessed against established benchmarks to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions and the final, verified result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Major announcements from Anthropic regarding new model releases, partnerships, or technological advancements would likely impact perceived market share. Changes in the competitive landscape, such as developments from OpenAI or Google, could also shift expectations. Broader economic trends affecting cloud computing demand, or shifts in developer preferences towards specific AI models, are additional factors to watch. Any news impacting Vercel’s platform or its relationship with Anthropic could also influence trading activity in this market.