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Anthropic share of requests on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What is Anthropic’s share of requests?

Volume:
$26,459

Above 5.8%

 - Kalshi

Above 5.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,679
N/A
N/A
$4,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.0%

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,488
N/A
N/A
$4,368
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.2%

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,644
N/A
N/A
$3,644
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.6%

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,119
N/A
N/A
$3,085
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,618
N/A
N/A
$2,597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
$435
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.5%

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$352
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,440
N/A
N/A
$2,210
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.7%

View
0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,180
N/A
N/A
$914
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,144
N/A
N/A
$546
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.2%

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the performance of Anthropic's AI models on Vercel's platform for a specific day, measuring how much of the total AI processing requests are attributed to Anthropic. It reflects the competitive landscape among AI service providers and the evolving preferences of users or institutions utilizing these services. The outcome depends on whether Anthropic's share exceeds certain thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Anthropic's share of AI Gateway requests processed through Vercel on October 26, 2026, exceeds one of several predefined percentage thresholds ranging from 5.1% to 8.7%. All markets resolve based on the same underlying data point: the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for that date, rounded to one decimal place. The definitive value will be determined from an updated chart at 10:00 AM ET on October 27, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold; if the measured share surpasses a given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Anthropic request share market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing the probability of different outcomes for Anthropic's share of requests on October 26, 2026. The current 24-hour volume is $19,132, and the total volume traded to date is $26,459. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to analyze how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available. It's a dynamic space reflecting collective intelligence.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective prediction differs from expert opinion. Often, this market aggregates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single analyst might consider, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts. However, analysts may have specialized knowledge or models that the market doesn't fully incorporate. It's valuable to examine both sources to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential outcomes surrounding Anthropic’s request share. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for Anthropic’s request share. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and evolving price discovery process. The market efficiently incorporates new information, making it a valuable tool for forecasting.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on publicly available data regarding Anthropic’s share of requests on October 26, 2026, as reported by Vercel. The final price of contracts in this market will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to profit from accurate predictions. It’s important to monitor relevant news and data sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential developments.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Anthropic regarding new model releases, partnerships, or technological breakthroughs would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in the competitive landscape, such as advancements from OpenAI or Google, could also shift market sentiment. Broader economic trends, shifts in AI adoption rates, and regulatory developments related to AI safety and deployment are further catalysts. Any news impacting the perceived capabilities or market position of Anthropic could lead to price fluctuations in this market.