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470,731

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Science and Technology
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What will Anthropic’s share be on Oct 18, 2026?

Volume:
$31,165

Above 5.3%

 - Kalshi

Above 5.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.3%

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,772
N/A
N/A
$3,905
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,498
N/A
N/A
$1,498
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.2%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,025
N/A
N/A
$4,793
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.2%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,491
N/A
N/A
$3,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,840
N/A
N/A
$3,837
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.7%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,831
N/A
N/A
$1,981
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,567
N/A
N/A
$1,958
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.7%

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,641
N/A
N/A
$1,641
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.4%

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,494
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market tracks whether Anthropic's proportion of total AI-related service requests handled via Vercel by major technology laboratories reaches certain levels during October 18, 2026. Success depends on actual request volume measurements against predefined percentage targets.

Kalshi

Multiple markets exist with varying threshold percentages (5.3%, 5.5%, 6.0%, 7.4%, 7.7%, 8.0%, 8.2%, 8.7%, and 9.2%). Each market resolves to Yes if the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 18, 2026 exceeds its specific threshold. All markets use the same data source: the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal, as reported at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated with Vercel, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Anthropic request share market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $19,532, and the total volume traded to date is $30,981. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time with the price chart. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about Anthropic’s share of requests in late 2026, and the dashboard visualizes this collective forecast. This is a dynamic view of market sentiment.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Currently, there is a question of whether the market is accurately reflecting the potential for Anthropic to gain market share. If analysts predict a significantly different outcome than what is priced into this market, it could indicate an opportunity for informed traders. It’s important to note that analyst forecasts are often based on specific models and assumptions, while this market represents a broader range of perspectives and information.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for Anthropic’s request share. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own research, analysis, and expectations, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on Vercel’s reported data for Anthropic’s share of requests on October 18, 2026. The specific methodology for calculating this share will be determined by Vercel, and the market will settle to reflect that verified percentage. Traders should monitor Vercel’s announcements for details closer to the resolution date to understand how the final outcome will be determined.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major announcements from Anthropic regarding new model releases, partnerships, or technological breakthroughs would likely impact trading activity. Changes in the competitive landscape, such as advancements from OpenAI or Google, could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, any news related to Vercel’s platform usage or its relationship with Anthropic could influence the market. Broader economic conditions and shifts in AI adoption rates could also play a role in how this market evolves.