TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Anthropic share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What will Anthropic’s share be?

Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$57
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$57
100%

Above 5.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 5.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:16h:29m

Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.9%

78%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 78% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.9%

Trade
78%
Yes 78¢No 28¢
6¢
N/A
$20
0%
N/A
$20
2d 16h 29m
Active
kalshi

Above 6.6%

Trade
58%
Yes 58¢No 43¢
1¢
N/A
$23
0%
N/A
$23
2d 16h 29m
Active
kalshi

Above 7.0%

Trade
54%
Yes 53¢No 49¢
2¢
N/A
$14
0%
N/A
$14
2d 16h 29m
Active
kalshi

Above 7.1%

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 16h 29m
Active
kalshi

Above 7.3%

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 16h 29m
Active
kalshi

Above 7.4%

Trade
N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 16h 29m
Active
kalshi

Above 7.8%

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 16h 29m
Active
kalshi

Above 8.2%

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 16h 29m
Active
kalshi

Above 8.7%

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 16h 29m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI processing requests handled by Anthropic through Vercel on a specific future date. It reflects potential shifts in how leading research institutions choose their AI service providers, illustrating competition among technology platforms.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether Anthropic's share of AI Gateway requests processed via Vercel by top laboratories exceeds specified percentage thresholds on November 4, 2026. The share is measured and rounded to one decimal place. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM Eastern Time on November 5, 2026, using the updated chart value from that date. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 5.9% to 8.7%. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official connection with Vercel, and all referenced trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The structure allows multiple simultaneous markets with varying difficulty levels of achievement for the same underlying metric.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Anthropic request share market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $57 and the total volume for this market is $57. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about the proportion of AI Gateway requests handled by Anthropic on November 4, 2026. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how these beliefs are evolving in real-time, allowing you to see which outcomes are favored and how the market is reacting to new information.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or analyst reports. This can lead to differences in predictions, as markets reflect the collective judgment of a diverse group of participants. If polls suggest a different outcome than what's priced into this market, it could indicate disagreement about the underlying factors influencing Anthropic's request share or differing interpretations of available data.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand on Kalshi and is not influenced by any external factors or benchmarks.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the verified share of requests handled by Anthropic through the AI Gateway on November 4, 2026. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to profit if their predictions were accurate. It’s important to monitor news and developments related to Anthropic and the AI Gateway as we approach the resolution date.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Anthropic regarding new AI models, partnerships, or infrastructure upgrades would likely impact perceived market share. Changes in the competitive landscape, such as significant advancements from other AI labs, could also shift the odds. Additionally, any news related to the AI Gateway itself, including adoption rates or changes in its functionality, could influence trading activity in this market. Broader economic trends or regulatory developments affecting the AI industry could also play a role.