TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Anthropic market share this week
kalshi

What will Anthropic's market share be this week?

Volume:
$37,019

Above 2.4%

 - Kalshi

Above 2.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,241
N/A
N/A
$5,986
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.6%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,747
N/A
N/A
$3,582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.8%

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,894
N/A
N/A
$3,578
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.2%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,932
N/A
N/A
$3,773
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,635
N/A
N/A
$4,379
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,300
N/A
N/A
$4,700
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,269
N/A
N/A
$4,625
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks Anthropic's weekly market share performance on OpenRouter for the week of August 31, 2026. It evaluates whether the company's share exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting its competitive position in the AI model market during that period.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on OpenRouter’s text market share data for model authors as reported at 10:00 AM ET on Monday, August 31, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 2.4% to 3.8%); if Anthropic’s share exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If Anthropic’s market share is not separately identified—if it is grouped under 'Others' or not listed—the market resolves to No. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with or connected to the governing benchmark, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Anthropic market share market dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for this prediction, along with 24-hour volume of $3,597. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes this week, giving you a real-time view of market sentiment and activity.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate view of all participants. The market price adjusts dynamically based on order flow, news, and changes in sentiment, offering a liquid way to bet on the outcome. Volume of $37,019 shows overall interest and provides context for how tightly the market is priced.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the most reliable and widely accepted data sources, ensuring an objective determination of the actual market share for the week in question.

Key signals that could shift this market include major product announcements, partnerships, earnings reports, or significant changes in consumer adoption rates. Any news that affects competition, user growth, or overall market sentiment may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch for analyst updates or industry trends that reshape expectations ahead of Sep 14, 2026.