TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the anticipated adoption rate of Anthropic's AI models within corporations by September 2026. It reflects expectations about how widely businesses will integrate these advanced AI tools into their operations within that timeframe. The outcome depends on whether reported adoption percentages meet or exceed specific thresholds.
The event evaluates multiple potential adoption rate thresholds for Anthropic's AI models in corporate settings during September 2026, each defined by a specific percentage benchmark. For every market, the resolution hinges on whether the Ramp AI Index reports the adoption rate above the stated threshold—43.5%, 44%, 44.5%, 45%, 45.5%, 46%, or 46.5%—during that month. The determining value is the first publicly reported figure from the Ramp AI Index for September 2026; any subsequent corrections or updates after the market settlement will not alter the result. All markets operate independently based on their respective thresholds, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official association with Ramp, emphasizing that all branding remains property of its respective owners.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly available Ramp AI Index data for Anthropic model adoption rate for September 2026. This index is a widely recognized measure of AI model usage, and the market will settle based on the reported percentage for that specific month. Traders should monitor the Ramp AI Index as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Anthropic regarding new model releases, partnerships, or significant customer acquisitions would likely impact trading activity. Positive or negative press coverage regarding the performance or safety of Anthropic’s models could also influence prices. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as increased investment in AI or regulatory changes, could also play a role. Finally, any shifts in the competitive landscape, with the emergence of new AI models from competitors, could affect expectations for Anthropic’s adoption rate.