TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Anthropic corporate adoption rate in September
kalshi

What will Anthropic's adoption rate be?

Volume:
$503

Above 43.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 43.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 9:52 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 43.5%

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 44%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 45%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 44.5%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 45.5%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 46%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 46.5%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the anticipated adoption rate of Anthropic's AI models within corporations by September 2026. It reflects expectations about how widely businesses will integrate these advanced AI tools into their operations within that timeframe. The outcome depends on whether reported adoption percentages meet or exceed specific thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential adoption rate thresholds for Anthropic's AI models in corporate settings during September 2026, each defined by a specific percentage benchmark. For every market, the resolution hinges on whether the Ramp AI Index reports the adoption rate above the stated threshold—43.5%, 44%, 44.5%, 45%, 45.5%, 46%, or 46.5%—during that month. The determining value is the first publicly reported figure from the Ramp AI Index for September 2026; any subsequent corrections or updates after the market settlement will not alter the result. All markets operate independently based on their respective thresholds, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official association with Ramp, emphasizing that all branding remains property of its respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as opinions on Anthropic’s adoption rate vary widely. However, the prediction market provides a unique 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, aggregating the insights of numerous traders. If most analysts predict slower adoption, we might expect to see lower prices in this market, indicating a lower probability of high adoption rates. Conversely, optimistic analyst views could translate to higher prices. It’s important to remember that prediction markets reflect real-time expectations and can adjust rapidly to new information.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly available Ramp AI Index data for Anthropic model adoption rate for September 2026. This index is a widely recognized measure of AI model usage, and the market will settle based on the reported percentage for that specific month. Traders should monitor the Ramp AI Index as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential outcome of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Anthropic regarding new model releases, partnerships, or significant customer acquisitions would likely impact trading activity. Positive or negative press coverage regarding the performance or safety of Anthropic’s models could also influence prices. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as increased investment in AI or regulatory changes, could also play a role. Finally, any shifts in the competitive landscape, with the emergence of new AI models from competitors, could affect expectations for Anthropic’s adoption rate.