TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elections
Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary winner?
kalshi

Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary winner?

Volume:
$31,948

Yousef Rabhi

 - Kalshi

Yousef Rabhi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 8:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yousef Rabhi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,186
N/A
N/A
$12,362
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Taylor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,763
N/A
N/A
$7,412
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will prevail in the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary election. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 82.0%, with an alternative outcome at 68.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official results of the Democratic primary election, scheduled for August 4, 2026. Watch for candidate announcements and campaign activity in the months leading up to the primary to gauge shifts in viability and voter support.

Kalshi

If Christopher Taylor wins the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yousef Rabhi wins the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary winner market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official results of the Democratic primary election in Ann Arbor. The market will settle based on which candidate receives the most votes in the primary contest, as certified by Ann Arbor municipal election authorities. Traders should monitor official election announcements and any recount or certification processes that may occur after election day to confirm the final outcome.

Several catalysts could shift odds for the Ann Arbor Democratic primary. Candidate announcements, campaign launches, or withdrawals will immediately reprice the market. Local media coverage, debate performances, and endorsements from prominent Ann Arbor figures or organizations can sway trader sentiment. Changes in voter registration or turnout expectations may also trigger price movement. Emerging scandals, policy shifts, or gaffes involving frontrunners could reshape probabilities. Polling releases specific to Ann Arbor will provide data points traders use to recalibrate. As the primary date approaches, early voting results and get-out-the-vote intensity will increasingly influence market pricing, with final moves often occurring in the days immediately before Jan 1, 2027.