TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which candidate will prevail in the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary election. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 82.0%, with an alternative outcome at 68.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official results of the Democratic primary election, scheduled for August 4, 2026. Watch for candidate announcements and campaign activity in the months leading up to the primary to gauge shifts in viability and voter support.
If Christopher Taylor wins the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yousef Rabhi wins the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the Ann Arbor Democratic primary. Candidate announcements, campaign launches, or withdrawals will immediately reprice the market. Local media coverage, debate performances, and endorsements from prominent Ann Arbor figures or organizations can sway trader sentiment. Changes in voter registration or turnout expectations may also trigger price movement. Emerging scandals, policy shifts, or gaffes involving frontrunners could reshape probabilities. Polling releases specific to Ann Arbor will provide data points traders use to recalibrate. As the primary date approaches, early voting results and get-out-the-vote intensity will increasingly influence market pricing, with final moves often occurring in the days immediately before Jan 1, 2027.