TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 4:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for AMD Chipmaker (Pyth AMD/USD) on June 22, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for AMD Chipmaker (Pyth AMD/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for AMD Chipmaker (Pyth AMD/USD) captured on June 18, 2026, was $537.39650. Resolution source: Pyth AMD/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If AMD Chipmaker (AMD) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which AMD is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting AMD during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for AMD Chipmaker (Pyth AMD/USD) on June 22, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for AMD Chipmaker (Pyth AMD/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for AMD Chipmaker (Pyth AMD/USD) captured on June 18, 2026, was $537.39650. Resolution source: Pyth AMD/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If AMD Chipmaker (AMD) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which AMD is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting AMD during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Prediction market odds reflect real-time consensus from traders betting their own capital, whereas analyst forecasts are typically point estimates or price targets published on a fixed schedule. This market aggregates dispersed information and incentives across many participants, often capturing sentiment shifts faster than traditional analyst revisions. Comparing the crowd's odds to published analyst sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in more optimism or caution around AMD's near-term direction. Both signals are valuable: analysts bring deep fundamental research, while prediction markets embed live market microstructure and options positioning.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the platform's algorithm ensures continuous pricing even during low-volume periods. The spread between bid and ask reflects both the underlying uncertainty and available depth. As more capital flows into either the "up" or "down" outcome, the odds shift to rebalance the pool, creating natural price discovery around AMD's daily movement.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The result hinges on whether AMD's stock price closes above or below its opening level on the specified trading day. Once the market close is verified and reported by major financial data providers, the winning outcome is locked in and payouts are distributed to holders of the correct side. Resolution is automatic and final once the trading day concludes and official pricing is available.
Earnings announcements, product launches, competitive developments in semiconductors, and macroeconomic data can all shift odds in this market. Geopolitical tensions affecting chip supply chains, regulatory news, or major customer wins or losses for AMD may trigger sharp repricing. Intraday technical catalysts—such as index rebalancing, options expiration, or sector rotation—can also drive daily momentum. Broader market sentiment, Fed policy signals, and rival chipmaker announcements round out the landscape of events traders monitor when positioning for AMD's daily direction.