TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Amazon stock will close higher or lower on May 28, 2026 compared to the previous trading day's close. On Polymarket, the probability of an up move stands at 15.0%, with the down outcome implied at 85.0%. Resolution will be determined by comparing closing prices on Pyth Data's equity feed for AMZN. Traders should monitor Amazon's earnings announcements, macroeconomic data releases, and broader market sentiment in the weeks leading up to May 28, 2026, as these factors typically drive single-day directional moves in large-cap equities.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after Amazon's stock trading closes on May 28. Resolution hinges on whether AMZN's closing price that day is higher than its opening price. This binary structure isolates intraday directional movement, making it sensitive to earnings announcements, macroeconomic data, sector rotation, or company-specific news released on or before May 28. Traders use the weeks leading up to resolution to position based on expected catalysts and technical levels. Once the market closes, the outcome is determined by official exchange data.
Several catalysts could shift odds before May 28, 2026. Earnings surprises, cloud revenue trends, or AWS guidance updates would directly impact Amazon sentiment. Broader market moves—Fed policy shifts, tech sector rotation, or macroeconomic data—often drive large-cap stocks like AMZN. Competitive announcements from rivals or regulatory developments affecting e-commerce or cloud services could also matter. Technical levels and options expiration dynamics may influence intraday volatility on May 28 itself. Traders monitor these signals continuously, adjusting positions as new information emerges and reshaping the probability reflected in Polymarket odds.