TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 9, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 9, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
On Polymarket, the market is priced as two complementary outcomes: Amazon Up and Amazon Down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices ranging from $0 to $1 and reflecting the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The price of each outcome plus its complement equals $1. As traders adjust positions based on earnings reports, macroeconomic data, or company news, prices shift in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any point before the June 9 close.
The market resolves at Jun 9, 2026, marking the official end of trading and settlement. Resolution is determined by Amazon's stock price movement on that specific date. The outcome is binary: either the stock closes higher than its opening price on June 9 (Up), or it closes lower or flat (Down). Once the market close data is confirmed, the winning outcome is locked in and traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout.
Key catalysts include Amazon earnings announcements, cloud revenue trends, advertising business performance, and macroeconomic data affecting tech stocks. Regulatory developments, competitive pressures from rivals, or major product announcements could shift sentiment. Broader market movements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and sector rotation between growth and value stocks also influence intraday direction. Options expiration, short covering, or large institutional positioning changes may create volatility. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust odds on Polymarket as new information becomes available.