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Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 29?
polymarket

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 29?

Volume:
$1,335

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 29?

 - Polymarket

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 29? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 4:00 PM EST

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Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 29?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
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$1,335
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N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 29, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 29, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 29, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 29, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Amazon stock price market dashboard displays real-time odds on whether AMZN will close higher or lower on June 29. Traders can monitor the current probability, historical price movements, and trading activity to understand market sentiment around Amazon's stock direction. The dashboard provides a transparent view of how participants are pricing the outcome, reflecting collective expectations about the stock's performance on that specific date. This live data helps traders make informed decisions about their positions in the market.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-time, crowd-sourced expectations rather than periodic research reports. While Wall Street analysts publish forecasts based on fundamental analysis and company guidance, this market aggregates the views of traders who have financial incentive to predict accurately. Analysts typically focus on longer-term valuations, whereas prediction markets concentrate on a specific date outcome. Both sources offer valuable perspectives: analysts provide detailed reasoning, while prediction markets reveal what informed traders believe will actually occur on June 29.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent each outcome—Amazon up or down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger belief in that outcome. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to news, earnings reports, and macroeconomic factors that could influence Amazon's stock direction by the resolution date.

This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether Amazon's stock price closes higher or lower on that date compared to its opening price. Traders should monitor official market data and financial news sources as the date approaches. Once the market close is finalized and verified, the outcome becomes binding and payouts are distributed accordingly to holders of the winning position.

Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before June 29. Earnings announcements, changes to Amazon's guidance, or broader market volatility affecting tech stocks could trigger sharp repricing. Macroeconomic data—inflation reports, interest rate decisions, or consumer spending trends—often influence large-cap equities. Regulatory developments, competitive pressures, or major business announcements from Amazon leadership may also sway trader sentiment. Additionally, geopolitical events or sector-wide selloffs could create momentum in either direction. Traders should stay alert to news flow and adjust positions as new information becomes available.