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Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 16?
polymarket

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 16?

Volume:
$10,092

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 16?

 - Polymarket

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 16? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 4:00 PM EST

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Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 16?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 16, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 16, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 16, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on June 16, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Amazon stock price movement market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price data for whether AMZN will close higher or lower on June 16. The interface displays current implied probabilities for each outcome, along with 24-hour trading volume and cumulative liquidity across all positions. Traders use this dashboard to monitor sentiment shifts, identify support and resistance levels in the prediction curve, and execute trades based on intraday momentum. The short_topic aggregates all buy and sell activity into a single probability estimate, updated continuously as new trades execute.

Prediction market odds often diverge from consensus analyst price targets because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than formal equity research. While sell-side analysts may issue 12-month price targets or earnings estimates, this market isolates a single-day directional move, capturing intraday volatility and event-driven catalysts that traditional forecasts overlook. Traders pricing this outcome incorporate earnings announcements, macroeconomic data, and sector momentum in real time. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish near-term momentum than the research consensus suggests.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where the price of each outcome adjusts based on order flow and liquidity depth. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Buying shares of the "Up" outcome increases its price and implied probability, while selling reduces it. The market price converges toward the true probability as more capital enters and arbitrageurs exploit mispricings. Liquidity pools determine how much price movement occurs per dollar traded, so deeper pools result in tighter bid-ask spreads and more efficient price discovery.

This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, once the trading day closes and official price data is available. The outcome is determined by whether AMZN's closing price on that date is higher or lower than the previous close, verified against credible public sources. No partial or intraday movements count; only the final settlement price matters. Once the result is confirmed, the winning outcome is paid out at full value and the losing outcome expires worthless.

Earnings surprises, guidance revisions, and macroeconomic data releases are primary catalysts for AMZN directional moves. Cloud revenue trends, advertising growth, and competitive pressures from Microsoft and Google can shift sentiment sharply. Broader market events—interest rate decisions, inflation reports, or tech sector rotation—often drive correlated moves across mega-cap stocks. Insider transactions, analyst downgrades or upgrades, and geopolitical developments affecting supply chains or regulatory scrutiny can also trigger repricing. Traders monitoring this market watch pre-market futures, options implied volatility, and social media sentiment for early signals of directional conviction.