Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 24? Odds & Prediction Markets

Name: Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 24?
Start: 2026-08-21T12:00:33.000Z
End: 2026-08-24T20:00:00.000Z

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on August 24, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on August 24, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on August 24, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on August 24, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Amazon August 24 movement market on Polymarket tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,864. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around AMZN’s price direction by August 24. The interface updates continuously, letting users monitor shifts in market sentiment and trading activity as the event approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Amazon’s stock movement. While analysts may issue bull or bear calls based on earnings, guidance, or macro trends, prediction market odds capture crowd-sourced probability weights. Discrepancies often arise when market sentiment diverges from institutional outlooks, making this market valuable for spotting contrarian signals.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through binary contracts betting on Amazon’s stock being higher or lower at close on August 24. The current top outcome’s implied chance reflects the aggregated position of all participants. Volume of $2,074 supports price discovery, and liquidity can shift rapidly with news or earnings releases affecting AMZN.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to Amazon’s official closing price on that day to determine whether the contract settles as up or down. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded stock price.

Key events such as Amazon’s Q2 earnings release, macroeconomic data impacting tech stocks, or sector-wide news could shift this market. Traders will also watch Fed policy updates and any major announcements from competitors that may influence investor sentiment toward AMZN. Volume spikes often precede these catalysts, offering early hints about market direction.

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 24?

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