TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Aug 17 at ___?
polymarket

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Aug 17 at ___?

Volume:
$342

$255-$260

 - Polymarket

$255-$260 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 4:27 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$255-$260

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$260-$265

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$265-$270

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$250-$255

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$285

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$240

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$240-$245

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$245-$250

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$270-$275

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$275-$280

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$280-$285

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Amazon weekly close market on Polymarket. It displays current probabilities, historical price charts, and 24-hour volume of $282 to help users monitor market sentiment leading up to the resolution date. This focused view lets participants see how trader expectations for Amazon’s closing price shift throughout the week.

Currently, this market’s implied probability reflects a different view than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean toward certain price targets based on earnings or macro trends, traders on Polymarket are pricing in their own expectations for Amazon’s closing price that week. The gap can highlight where crowd-sourced sentiment diverges from institutional research.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders determine the price through active buying and selling of contracts that represent possible closing values. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of where Amazon will close by the end of the trading week. Market depth and recent trades influence the displayed odds, with volume of $342 supporting price discovery.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The closing price of Amazon on the final trading day of the week will be the decisive figure, and the market will settle automatically based on that verified number.

Key signals include Amazon’s quarterly earnings release, major product announcements, regulatory updates, and broader market trends affecting tech stocks. Unexpected news such as leadership changes or significant financial performance shifts could also cause rapid adjustments. Traders will watch daily price action, analyst reports, and macroeconomic indicators that influence investor sentiment toward Amazon in the days before Aug 21, 2026.