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Science and Technology
Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on September 28?
polymarket

Will Amazon close above its price on September 28?

Volume:
$4,795

$245

 - Polymarket

$245 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 4:29 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$245

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$240

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$250

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$255

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$260

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on September 28, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on September 28, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Amazon closing above a certain price on September 28, as reflected in the trading activity. You can view the odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $4,785. The total volume traded in this market is $4,795. This allows you to see how traders are positioning themselves and gauge the market's sentiment regarding Amazon's future stock performance. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the collective prediction.

Currently, the implied probability on Polymarket suggests a strong belief that Amazon will close above a certain price point by September 28. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which often present a range of potential outcomes with varying probabilities. While many analysts are bullish on Amazon, their specific price targets and timelines may not align with the collective wisdom expressed in this market. It's important to remember that prediction markets reflect real-money wagers, potentially offering a more accurate signal of future outcomes than opinions alone.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Amazon will close above a specified price on September 28. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of market sentiment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to this potential outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on September 28 will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider and will be the definitive factor in settling this market. Traders should monitor the stock price as it approaches the resolution date to understand the potential outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 28, 2026. Major announcements from Amazon regarding earnings, new product launches, or strategic partnerships could all move the stock price and, consequently, the market. Broader economic news, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also have an impact. Unexpected news related to key competitors or changes in consumer spending patterns could also shift sentiment. Any significant event affecting the overall market or the technology sector could also cause fluctuations in this market.