TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 28?
polymarket

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 28?

Volume:
$2,407

$270

 - Polymarket

$270 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$270

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$265

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$260

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$255

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$275

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether Amazon's stock price will close above $255 on May 28, 2026. On Polymarket, the probability of Amazon closing above that threshold stands at 98.6%. Resolution will be determined by the official closing price reported on Yahoo Finance. Watch for any significant market-wide volatility or Amazon-specific corporate announcements leading up to May 28, as these could influence intraday trading and the final closing price.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 28 event on Polymarket. You can monitor the current implied probability that Amazon's stock will close above the specified price level on the resolution date. The dashboard displays live price history, allowing you to see how market sentiment has shifted over time. Current 24-hour trading volume stands at $2,387, reflecting active participation from prediction market traders. Total group volume reaches $2,407, providing context for market depth and liquidity around this financial outcome.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket offer a real-time, crowd-sourced alternative to traditional analyst price targets for Amazon stock. While equity analysts publish periodic forecasts based on fundamental research, prediction markets aggregate continuous trading signals from participants who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. The Polymarket market reflects dynamic expectations about Amazon's May 28 close, updating instantly as new information emerges. Comparing these odds to consensus analyst estimates can reveal whether the market is pricing in more optimism or caution than the research community. This divergence often highlights where professional and crowd-based views diverge on near-term stock performance.

The Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 28 market resolves on May 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by Amazon's official closing price on that date, as reported by standard financial data sources. The market settles to 100 if the stock closes above the specified threshold and to 0 if it closes at or below that level. Traders holding winning positions receive their payout immediately upon resolution, while losing positions expire worthless. The binary structure ensures a clear, objective outcome with no ambiguity once the market close data is finalized.

Several catalysts could influence Amazon's stock price and shift odds on this market. Quarterly earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or management commentary on cloud growth, retail margins, or artificial intelligence initiatives typically drive significant moves. Macroeconomic data—including inflation reports, interest rate decisions, and consumer spending trends—affect technology stocks broadly. Competitive developments in cloud computing or e-commerce, regulatory news, or major customer wins or losses can also move the needle. Short-term technical factors, sector rotation, and broader market sentiment toward mega-cap technology stocks will influence daily trading activity and the probability path leading into May 28.