TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Amazon's stock price will close above $255 on May 28, 2026. On Polymarket, the probability of Amazon closing above that threshold stands at 98.6%. Resolution will be determined by the official closing price reported on Yahoo Finance. Watch for any significant market-wide volatility or Amazon-specific corporate announcements leading up to May 28, as these could influence intraday trading and the final closing price.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket offer a real-time, crowd-sourced alternative to traditional analyst price targets for Amazon stock. While equity analysts publish periodic forecasts based on fundamental research, prediction markets aggregate continuous trading signals from participants who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. The Polymarket market reflects dynamic expectations about Amazon's May 28 close, updating instantly as new information emerges. Comparing these odds to consensus analyst estimates can reveal whether the market is pricing in more optimism or caution than the research community. This divergence often highlights where professional and crowd-based views diverge on near-term stock performance.
The Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 28 market resolves on May 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by Amazon's official closing price on that date, as reported by standard financial data sources. The market settles to 100 if the stock closes above the specified threshold and to 0 if it closes at or below that level. Traders holding winning positions receive their payout immediately upon resolution, while losing positions expire worthless. The binary structure ensures a clear, objective outcome with no ambiguity once the market close data is finalized.
Several catalysts could influence Amazon's stock price and shift odds on this market. Quarterly earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or management commentary on cloud growth, retail margins, or artificial intelligence initiatives typically drive significant moves. Macroeconomic data—including inflation reports, interest rate decisions, and consumer spending trends—affect technology stocks broadly. Competitive developments in cloud computing or e-commerce, regulatory news, or major customer wins or losses can also move the needle. Short-term technical factors, sector rotation, and broader market sentiment toward mega-cap technology stocks will influence daily trading activity and the probability path leading into May 28.