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Science and Technology
Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on July 9?
polymarket

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on July 9?

Volume:
$1,106

$240

 - Polymarket

$240 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$240

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$245

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$235

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$255

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on July 9, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on July 9, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The Amazon stock price market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for whether AMZN will close above a specified level on July 9. Traders here are betting on the stock's closing price on that date. The interface displays current implied probability, 24-hour trading volume, and order book depth, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment around Amazon's near-term price action. This dashboard lets you monitor how conviction shifts as earnings reports, macroeconomic data, or company news emerge.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money conviction rather than consensus estimates. While Wall Street analysts publish formal forecasts based on financial models, traders in this market are directly wagering capital on the outcome, which can lead to sharper, more dynamic pricing. Comparing the implied probability here to published analyst sentiment on Amazon's near-term direction reveals whether the crowd is more or less bullish than the Street. This gap frequently signals where information asymmetry or disagreement is greatest.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that pay out if Amazon closes above the target price on July 9. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate; a share trading at 85 cents implies an 85% chance of that outcome. Liquidity pools and order books allow continuous price discovery, so the odds shift in real time as new information arrives and traders adjust their positions. Your potential profit or loss depends on entry price and the final resolution.

This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once Amazon's official closing price for that trading day is confirmed. The outcome is determined by whether AMZN closes above the specified threshold, verified against credible public sources such as major financial data providers or official exchange records. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout automatically after resolution is finalized. The exact settlement timing depends on market hours and data availability on the resolution date.

Key catalysts include Amazon's earnings announcements, changes in interest rates or broader market sentiment, competitive pressures in cloud computing or retail, and macroeconomic data releases. Regulatory news—such as antitrust developments or tax policy shifts—can also swing trader conviction sharply. Insider trading disclosures, management commentary, or major customer wins or losses may trigger repricing. Broader tech sector momentum and correlation with the Nasdaq often influence this market as well, since Amazon is a mega-cap growth stock sensitive to rate expectations and growth narratives.