TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
245
- Opinion
245 - Opinion
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Latest in Companies
Closed: Sep 14, 11:01 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Amazon (AMZN) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Amazon (AMZN) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market participants believe there is a chance Amazon's stock will be above its current value on the specified date. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts provide detailed reports, this market represents a collective intelligence view, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates different outcomes than conventional wisdom suggests, offering a unique perspective on potential future performance.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Amazon’s stock will be above its current value on September 14, 2026. The price of these contracts reflects the collective probability assigned to that outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the stock will be above the current value, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing stock price of Amazon (AMZN) on September 14, 2026, will be compared to its current value to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'above' outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring transparency and objectivity in the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 14, 2026. Major announcements from Amazon regarding earnings, new product launches, or strategic partnerships would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, such as inflation rates, interest rate changes, and overall market sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to Amazon’s competitors or regulatory changes impacting the tech industry are additional catalysts to watch. Any significant shift in these areas could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to changes in the market's odds.
