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405,032
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Closed: Sep 22, 2:49 AM EST
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Altai Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Altai Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Altai Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Altai Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of seats won by each party will determine which outcome is settled, aligning with official Altai Krai election announcements.
Several events could shift this market before it resolves. Key catalysts include final polling updates, debates or public statements by leading candidates, voter turnout announcements, and any last-minute scandals or policy shifts. Each of these can change traders’ perceptions of likely outcomes, causing rapid price swings. The market will also react to betting patterns as volume increases in the days leading to Sep 20, 2026.