TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate not only survey data but also campaign momentum, fundraising, and ground-game signals that polls may lag in capturing. While polls measure voter intent at a single moment, this market aggregates real-time information from participants who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing the implied probabilities here to published polling averages can reveal whether traders expect a party to outperform or underperform its survey standing by election day.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each party's chance of winning the most seats, with the price of each share reflecting its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates as an automated market maker, meaning prices adjust continuously based on order flow and liquidity. Traders profit by correctly predicting which party will emerge as the largest bloc, incentivizing them to incorporate all available information—from polls to expert commentary—into their trading decisions.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the parliamentary election results are finalized and verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which party secures the most seats in the National People's Assembly. Resolution occurs after official results are announced and confirmed, ensuring that the market reflects the actual electoral outcome rather than preliminary or disputed figures.
Major catalysts include new public opinion polls, campaign events, coalition announcements, and media coverage of party platforms or leadership changes. Economic developments, security incidents, or statements from international observers can also shift trader expectations. As election day approaches, final campaign rallies, voter turnout forecasts, and last-minute endorsements typically drive increased trading activity and price volatility. Any significant shift in perceived momentum could trigger rapid repricing across all party outcomes.