TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Mary Peltola
- Kalshi
Mary Peltola - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Sep 1, 11:08 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a key primary election where multiple candidates compete for the top position. The result depends solely on who achieves the highest vote count in the official count. It reflects the democratic process where voter preferences determine the leading candidate in the race.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if any of the listed candidates—Mary Peltola, Dan S. Sullivan, Dustin Darden, or Dan J. Sullivan—finishes in first place in the 2026 Alaska Senate primary, as per the certified election results. Each candidate-specific rule functions as an independent condition for a Yes outcome, meaning the market will settle positively if any one of these individuals secures the top position. No other candidates or tie scenarios are addressed in the primary rules, and the resolution hinges exclusively on the official certification of results from the August 18, 2026 election.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The first-place finisher in the official Alaska Senate primary vote tallies will determine the settled result, reflecting the definitive voter choice.
Key events such as public polling updates, candidate debates, endorsements, and any unforeseen scandals or policy announcements could shift this market. Economic indicators, changes in voter registration statistics, and media coverage framing the race also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 18, 2027 approaches, shorter-term news cycles and late-breaking developments will most strongly affect odds.
