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Alaska gubernatorial primary: Tom Begich vote percent
kalshi

What will Tom Begich's vote percentage be in the Alaska gubernatorial primary?

Volume:
$9,138

At least 19%

 - Kalshi

At least 19% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 11:12 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 19%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,838
N/A
N/A
$2,636
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 16%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,011
N/A
N/A
$1,829
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 13%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,850
N/A
N/A
$1,501
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 10%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,281
N/A
N/A
$782
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 28%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$741
N/A
N/A
$536
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 22%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 25%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$104
10mo 3w 1d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market assesses Tom Begich's performance in the Alaska gubernatorial primary by tracking the percentage of votes he receives against all valid ballots cast. The outcome depends on whether his vote share meets or exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting his electoral support level.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of valid votes Tom Begich receives in the Alaska gubernatorial primary, calculated as (votes for Begich ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a distinct threshold (10%, 13%, 16%, 19%, 22%, 25%, or 28%) that, if met or exceeded by the certified result, triggers a 'Yes' resolution. Write-in votes are included if certified, while invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and denominator. Resolution relies solely on official, certified results—preliminary figures, cancellations, postponements beyond the market expiration, or unavailable certified data result in a 'No' outcome. If a recount alters the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified figure determines the result. Multiple voting rounds (e.g., ranked-choice systems) use the specified round or the first round if unspecified.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote tally will determine whether Tom Begich meets the market’s criteria, and the market will settle accordingly based on officially reported data.

Key events like debate performances, endorsements, fundraising announcements, or major polling shifts can dramatically affect this market. Any development that changes voter perception of Tom Begich’s competitiveness — positive or negative — may prompt traders to adjust their positions. As Aug 18, 2027 approaches, updated polls, candidate miscues, or changes in voter turnout expectations often drive volatility. Keep an eye on news cycles and polling data releases for potential market-moving catalysts.