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404,175

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2,685

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5

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Alaska At-Large Primary Winners
polymarket

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

Volume:
$49,132

Bill Hill

 - Polymarket

Bill Hill - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 4:43 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bill Hill

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nick Begich III

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Matt Schultz

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

John Williams

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gavin Solomon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Gavin Solomon will advance from Alaska's At-Large Congressional District primary election to the general election for U.S. House Representative. On Polymarket, Solomon has a 94.0% probability of advancing. The market resolves based on official results from the Alaska Division of Elections, with resolution contingent on the primary election results announced following the August 18, 2026 vote.

Polymarket

The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Frequently asked questions

The Alaska At-Large Primary Winners market resolves on Aug 18, 2026, following the official Alaska at-large primary election. Resolution is determined by the certified results from the Alaska Division of Elections, which confirm which candidates advance from the primary contest. Markets remain open for trading until the election occurs, allowing participants to adjust positions based on campaign momentum, endorsements, and other developments leading up to voting day.

Key catalysts for price movement include candidate endorsements, debate performances, campaign spending announcements, and shifts in voter registration or early voting data. Major national political events or changes in Alaska's political landscape could also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage of candidate viability, primary turnout expectations, and last-minute campaign developments typically drive volatility. Additionally, any changes to Alaska's primary rules or ballot access requirements could reshape market odds as traders reassess candidate advancement probabilities closer to Aug 18, 2026.