TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 11:10 AM EST
Kalshi
During the same Alaska congressional primary, Bill Hill's performance will be measured by the proportion of votes he secures. The final certified vote tally will determine if his support reaches one of the targeted thresholds among all valid ballots cast.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bill Hill in the Alaska at-large congressional district primary is 25% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bill Hill in the Alaska at-large congressional district primary is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bill Hill in the Alaska at-large congressional district primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bill Hill in the Alaska at-large congressional district primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bill Hill in the Alaska at-large congressional district primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bill Hill in the Alaska at-large congressional district primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote count will settle all positions, reflecting the official results declared by Alaska election authorities. No additional interpretation or external data sources are required beyond authoritative news and government releases.
Key signals that could shift this market include debate performance, major endorsements, scandal developments, and shifts in voter registration or turnout expectations. Economic indicators or national political trends may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 18, 2027 approaches, any last-minute polling surges or campaign missteps are likely to cause noticeable price movements, reflecting updated probabilities of each candidate’s vote share.