TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Alani Nu's point-of-sale growth in August 2026 exceeds specific thresholds compared to the same month in the previous year. The growth is measured using a panel that captures in-store and online purchases through receipt scanning and rewards apps. The outcome depends on whether the reported growth percentage surpasses predefined levels.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Alani Nu's year-over-year point-of-sale growth in August 2026, each defined by a specific percentage increase above the prior August. All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for that month; any subsequent corrections or revisions do not affect the outcome. The growth index, measured via a receipt panel that tracks in-store and online purchases, compares spending to the same period last year. Values above 100 indicate growth, with each market corresponding to a distinct growth threshold (e.g., above 16%, above 21%, etc.). The index updates daily as new data becomes available. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Alani Nu or ownership of related trademarks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, pricing for this market is set through continuous trading, where buyers and sellers agree on the probability of Alani Nu achieving specific sales growth thresholds in August. The current top outcome reflects the collective assessment of traders, influenced by recent sales data, promotional activity, and consumer sentiment. Volume of $8,510 supports these price discoveries.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the sales growth figure for August is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released sales data and widely accepted industry metrics, ensuring an objective resolution aligned with observable results.
Key signals that could shift this market include major promotional campaigns, unexpected supply chain developments, consumer confidence shifts, and early sales reports from Alani Nu. Any news affecting retail foot traffic or online sales trends in July and early August may also influence trader sentiment and adjust the odds on Kalshi before resolution.