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2,388,728,490

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$1,436,095,462

405,232

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30,526

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2,693

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5

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Elections
Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent
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Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent

Volume:
$21,681

25% - 30%

 - Kalshi

25% - 30% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 10:34 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

25% - 30%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,914
N/A
N/A
$2,458
7mo 3w
Yes
kalshi

35% - 40%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,960
N/A
N/A
$2,476
7mo 3w
No
kalshi

Below 20%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,220
N/A
N/A
$2,050
7mo 3w
No
kalshi

At least 45%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,817
N/A
N/A
$1,581
7mo 3w
No
kalshi

40% - 45%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,669
N/A
N/A
$1,494
7mo 3w
No
kalshi

30% - 35%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,575
N/A
N/A
$1,331
7mo 3w
No
kalshi

20% - 25%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
$289
7mo 3w
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks what share of votes Jared Hudson will capture in the opening round of Alabama's 2026 Republican Senate primary. On Kalshi, the probability that Hudson receives between 25% and 30% of the popular vote stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the certified popular vote percentage reported for the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary. Watch for the primary election results, expected by May 19, 2027, which will establish Hudson's final vote share and settle the market.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for Jared Hudson's vote share in the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary on Kalshi. It displays the current probability that Hudson will receive a specific percentage of the popular vote in the first round, along with 24-hour trading volume of $1,756 and cumulative group volume of $21,681. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the market's evolving assessment of Hudson's electoral performance in this Republican primary contest.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi incorporate real-money incentives that often lead traders to price outcomes differently than traditional polls. While polls measure voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate forward-looking expectations from participants with financial stakes in accuracy. For the Alabama Republican primary, market prices reflect not only current polling data but also trader assessments of campaign momentum, candidate viability, and late-breaking developments. Comparing market odds to available polling can reveal whether traders expect Hudson's support to shift between now and the primary election.

The market resolves on May 19, 2027, following the conclusion of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary election. Resolution is determined by the official vote count and certified results for Jared Hudson's share of the popular vote in the first round of the primary. The outcome will be confirmed once election authorities release final tallies and any recounts or disputes are resolved. Traders should monitor official Alabama election sources and candidate campaign announcements as the primary date approaches.

Several factors could shift market odds for Hudson's vote share before the primary. Major endorsements from prominent Alabama Republicans or national figures could boost or diminish his support. Campaign spending, debate performances, and media coverage will influence voter perception. Candidate entry or exit announcements by other primary contenders could reshape the competitive landscape and redirect votes. Polling releases showing changes in Hudson's standing will likely trigger immediate market repricing. Local and national political developments, scandals, or economic news could also affect voter priorities and candidate viability through the election date.