TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 27, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether airport passenger screening volume will exceed 2.12 million on May 27, 2026. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by official passenger screening data, with the market settling if the number of passengers screened surpasses 3.32 million according to the resolution source. Watch for the actual screening volume figures released on or shortly after May 27, 2026, which will determine the final outcome by the June 4, 2026 resolution date.
The Airport passengers on May 27, 2026 market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by official TSA passenger screening data reported for May 27, 2026. The outcome hinges on whether total passengers screened across all U.S. airports that day exceeds or falls short of the 2,320,000 threshold. This threshold is calibrated against historical daily averages and seasonal patterns. Once TSA publishes final screening figures, the market settles automatically based on whether the actual count meets or exceeds the specified level, with traders receiving payouts accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift odds for this event. Airline capacity announcements, fuel price movements, and macroeconomic data affecting consumer travel budgets will influence demand expectations. Major holidays or events near May 27 could drive seasonal spikes or dips. Labor actions, airport disruptions, or geopolitical events impacting international travel may reduce passenger volumes. Quarterly airline earnings and forward guidance on summer travel demand provide real-time market signals. Additionally, TSA PreCheck enrollment trends, staffing levels at security checkpoints, and historical comparisons to prior May 27 data points help traders calibrate their probability estimates as the event date approaches.