TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The number of passengers passing through US airports on July 31, 2026, will be closely watched as an indicator of economic activity and travel demand recovery.
Each market resolves to Yes if the number of airport passengers screened on July 31, 2026, exceeds a specific threshold, ranging from 2,160,000 to 3,560,000 passengers in increments of 100,000.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may incorporate broader economic trends and government data, while traders on Kalshi price in real-time signals and betting behavior. The gap between these two can highlight where public sentiment diverges from institutional outlooks.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passenger count for July 31, 2026, will be compared against the market’s defined thresholds, and the result will be settled based on that official data.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Government travel policies, economic growth or contraction, airline capacity changes, and global health developments all influence passenger volumes. Major events like international conferences, holidays, or disruptions such as natural disasters or security threats can also cause rapid price swings as traders adjust their expectations.