TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Airbnb bookings in Q2
kalshi

Airbnb bookings in Q2

Volume:
$86,726

above 141 million

 - Kalshi

above 141 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 5:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above 141 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,444
N/A
N/A
$3,031
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 147 million

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,072
N/A
N/A
$2,738
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 144 million

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,690
N/A
N/A
$2,554
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 148 million

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,445
N/A
N/A
$1,688
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 146 million

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,821
N/A
N/A
$1,635
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 145 million

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,317
N/A
N/A
$1,538
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 156 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,671
N/A
N/A
$11,144
Settled
No
kalshi

above 153 million

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,764
N/A
N/A
$7,077
Settled
No
kalshi

above 150 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,809
N/A
N/A
$5,160
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 149 million

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,694
N/A
N/A
$3,208
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Airbnb Inc. will report booking volumes exceeding 141 million nights and seats during the second quarter of 2026. The leading outcome currently stands at 96.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by Airbnb's official Q2 2026 earnings report, which will disclose total nights and seats booked during that period. Watch for Airbnb's earnings announcement on or around September 4, 2026, when the company releases its Q2 results and the market resolves.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Airbnb Inc.'s reported nights and seats booked in Q2 2026. The event establishes a series of escalating performance benchmarks, with each threshold representing a progressively higher level of booking volume achievement. Resolution to Yes occurs if the company's official Q2 2026 financial reporting indicates booking volume exceeding any of the specified thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

The Airbnb bookings in Q2 dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether Airbnb Inc. will report above 153 million nights and seats booked in Q2 2026. The dashboard displays the current probability of the outcome, historical price movements, and $28,640 in 24-hour trading volume. Total group volume across this event stands at $86,726. Traders use this data to monitor market sentiment and adjust positions as new earnings guidance or booking trends emerge closer to the resolution date.

The Airbnb bookings in Q2 market resolves on Sep 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by Airbnb Inc.'s official Q2 2026 earnings report and shareholder communications, which will disclose the total number of nights and seats booked during the quarter. The outcome hinges on whether that reported figure exceeds 153 million. Traders should monitor Airbnb's quarterly filings, earnings call transcripts, and any forward guidance updates in the months leading up to resolution.

Key catalysts for this market include Airbnb's Q1 2026 earnings report, which will reveal booking trends and management commentary on Q2 outlook. Macroeconomic data—inflation, employment, consumer spending—affects travel demand. Competitive pressures from hotels and alternative platforms, regulatory changes affecting short-term rentals, and seasonal travel patterns all influence booking volumes. Additionally, any strategic announcements from Airbnb regarding pricing, supply expansion, or new markets could shift trader expectations. Real-time booking data releases or analyst upgrades and downgrades may also move the odds as the resolution date approaches.