TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on September 8?
polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on September 8?

Volume:
$450

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on September 8?

 - Polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on September 8? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 4:19 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on September 8?

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on September 8, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on September 8, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on September 8, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on September 8, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Airbnb stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing above or below its current price on September 8. You’ll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $450, and the 24-hour volume, which stands at $450. This allows you to gauge market interest and how predictions are evolving in real-time. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of where traders believe Airbnb’s stock is headed.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Airbnb. While analysts typically provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders betting with real capital. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites, information access, and the timeframe considered. If analysts are generally bullish on Airbnb, but this market shows a more cautious outlook, it suggests traders may be anticipating short-term headwinds or uncertainties not fully captured in standard financial models.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Airbnb’s stock will be up or down on September 8. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate of the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the resolution date, the more the price will reflect the prevailing sentiment and any new information impacting the stock. Volume plays a key role; higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s price discovery.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Airbnb stock on September 8 will be compared to its price at the market’s creation. If the closing price is higher, the ‘Up’ outcome prevails; if it’s lower or equal, the ‘Down’ outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the result of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 8, 2026. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or GDP figures, could influence overall market sentiment and impact Airbnb’s stock. Company-specific news, like earnings announcements, changes in guidance, or significant partnerships, would also be key catalysts. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in travel trends could also play a role. Any news that alters investor perception of Airbnb’s future growth prospects has the potential to shift the odds in this market.