TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 1?
polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 1?

Volume:
$2,318

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 1?

 - Polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 1? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on June 1, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on June 1, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

The Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 1? dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this binary stock event. It displays the current implied probability that Airbnb's share price will close higher on June 1 versus lower, along with 24-hour trading volume in $2,318 and cumulative market depth. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the collective forecast of market participants. You can monitor how sentiment shifts as earnings reports, market conditions, and company announcements approach the resolution date.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket represent decentralized, real-money forecasts from traders betting directly on Airbnb's stock direction. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, typically focus on earnings estimates, revenue guidance, and longer-term valuations rather than single-day directional moves. Prediction markets often react faster to breaking news and sentiment shifts, while analyst reports reflect fundamental research. Comparing the two reveals whether markets are pricing in optimism or caution that traditional equity research may not yet emphasize. Both signals together provide a fuller picture of near-term Airbnb momentum heading into June 1.

On Polymarket, Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 1 is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects its implied probability, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically tightens the spread between bid and ask, making prices more reliable. You can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 1, 2026, locking in gains or cutting losses based on your conviction about Airbnb's June 1 close.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by Airbnb's official closing stock price on that date. If the closing price is higher than the opening price on June 1, the "Up" outcome wins; if lower, "Down" wins. The event captures a single trading day's directional movement, making it sensitive to earnings announcements, macroeconomic data, travel trends, or company-specific news released that morning or in the preceding days. Traders should monitor Airbnb's earnings calendar and broader market conditions closely as the date approaches.

Key catalysts for Airbnb on June 1 include quarterly earnings releases, guidance revisions, and travel demand indicators. Regulatory announcements affecting short-term rentals in major markets could shift sentiment sharply. Broader economic signals—inflation data, interest rate decisions, consumer spending reports—impact discretionary travel stocks. Competitor news or changes to Airbnb's pricing strategy or supply also influence direction. Geopolitical events, seasonal travel patterns, and shifts in remote work trends affect booking volumes. Social media sentiment and analyst upgrades or downgrades in the days before June 1 often drive intraday momentum. Monitor financial calendars and company communications closely for surprises.