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Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on August 17?
polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on August 17?

Volume:
$359

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on August 17?

 - Polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on August 17? - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 4:17 PM EST

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Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on August 17?

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on August 17, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on August 17, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on August 17, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on August 17, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Airbnb price movement market, along with 24-hour volume of $359. It shows how traders are positioning around the August price direction, giving you a real-time view of market sentiment and activity as the event approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a crowdsourced view of expected price movement. While analysts may weigh quarterly earnings or macro trends, this market aggregates trader sentiment directly through betting action. The current implied probability reflects collective investor bets, often reacting faster to news or sentiment shifts than published reports.

On Polymarket, this market uses a decentralized betting pool where traders buy 'yes' or 'no' contracts. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect collective trader sentiment about the Airbnb price movement market, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading activity. Volume of $359 over the last 24 hours shows how actively participants are engaging with this prediction. Traders can influence pricing through their bets, with the market price dynamically updating based on the balance of 'yes' versus 'no' shares.

This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the result automatically reflected after official market close data is available, eliminating any ambiguity about the price direction for that day.

Several factors could shift this market before Aug 17, 2026. Earnings reports, macroeconomic data releases, and broader market trends may sway trader expectations about Airbnb's stock performance. News on travel demand, housing regulations, or leadership changes could also impact sentiment. Additionally, overall market volatility or sector-specific shifts may cause fluctuations. Traders will watch these signals closely, as each new piece of information can reshape the odds in this market.