TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
AI sector performance on May 28, 2026
kalshi

AI sector performance on May 28, 2026

Volume:
$4

Above 59.85

 - Kalshi

Above 59.85 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 28, 7:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 59.85

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 80.85

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 61.35

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 62.85

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 64.35

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 65.85

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 67.35

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 68.85

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 70.35

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 71.85

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 73.35

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 74.85

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 76.35

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 77.85

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 79.35

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether the Truflation AI & DePIN Index will exceed 59.85 on May 28, 2026, reflecting price movements across artificial intelligence and decentralized infrastructure technology sectors. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official Truflation AI & DePIN Index reading on May 28, 2026, with final settlement expected by June 5, 2026. Watch the index composition and any major announcements in AI or DePIN projects in the days leading up to May 28 for signals on sector momentum.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time aggregation of trader expectations, which often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sell-side research and equity strategists may issue point estimates or ranges for AI sector indices, prediction markets price in tail risks and consensus probability directly. The current market estimate on Kalshi incorporates forward-looking sentiment about AI adoption, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic conditions through May 28. Comparing these market-derived probabilities to published analyst reports and consensus estimates can reveal where traders see asymmetric risk relative to institutional consensus.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, shortly after the May 28, 2026 reference date. Resolution hinges on the official closing level of the Truflation AI & DePIN Index on May 28. If the index closes above 80.85, the affirmative outcome wins; if it closes at or below that threshold, the negative outcome prevails. The index value is determined by the underlying constituents tracked by Truflation, which reflect real-time pricing of AI and decentralized infrastructure tokens. Settlement is final once the index data is confirmed and the contract is marked to the official reference level.

Several catalysts could shift the Truflation AI & DePIN Index and move market odds before May 28. Major AI company earnings announcements, breakthroughs in large language models, and regulatory rulings on AI governance could drive sentiment sharply. Macroeconomic data—inflation reports, interest rate decisions, and tech sector earnings—will influence risk appetite for growth-oriented AI and DePIN tokens. Geopolitical developments affecting semiconductor supply chains or AI export restrictions may also matter. Token-specific news, partnerships, and adoption metrics for underlying index constituents will provide real-time signals that traders incorporate into pricing throughout the countdown to resolution.