TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Affirm gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
kalshi

Affirm gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026

Volume:
$1,558

Above $50 billion

 - Kalshi

Above $50 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 5:36 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $50 billion

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
$248
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above $48.5 billion

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
$409
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above $49.5 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$215
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above $49 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above $50.5 billion

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
$373
2mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Above $51 billion

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
2mo 3w 5d
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Affirm Holdings, Inc. will surpass various gross merchandise volume thresholds in its fiscal year 2026. The outcome depends on the annual figure reported in the company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Each threshold represents a different level of performance, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of Affirm achieving increasingly ambitious sales targets.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s gross merchandise volume (GMV) in fiscal 2026, with each threshold defining a separate market outcome. All markets resolve based on the annual GMV figure reported in Affirm's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. If the reported GMV exceeds a specific threshold—ranging from $48.5 billion to $51 billion—the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Each threshold represents a distinct level of performance, allowing participants to assess the probability of Affirm achieving various sales milestones. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one threshold does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with Affirm, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Affirm GMV 2026 market dashboard shows current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $713. It provides a real-time view of trader sentiment and market activity for the Affirm GMV 2026 market, allowing users to monitor how the prediction market is positioned on this financial outcome.

This market resolves around Dec 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on publicly available financial statements or announcements from the company, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Key signals that could move this market include quarterly earnings reports, management guidance updates, macroeconomic indicators affecting consumer spending, regulatory news, and competitive pressures in the buy-now-pay-later sector. Any data suggesting higher or lower consumer credit usage, changes in interest rates, or shifts in e-commerce growth trends may also influence trader sentiment and pricing in this market as resolution approaches.