TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Weekly
limitless

Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Weekly

Volume:
$193

Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Weekly

 - Limitless

Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Weekly - Limitless

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Vol.

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Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

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24h
7d
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limitless

Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Weekly

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) captured on June 5, 2026, was $229.50435. Resolution source: Pyth ITA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which ITA is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting ITA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) captured on June 5, 2026, was $229.50435. Resolution source: Pyth ITA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which ITA is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting ITA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing the closing price of the Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) at market close on that date to the prior week's closing price. If ITA closes higher, the "Up" outcome resolves to 100 cents and "Down" resolves to zero. If ITA closes lower or flat, the opposite occurs. The outcome is objective and based solely on publicly available price data from the exchange where ITA trades, ensuring transparent and dispute-free settlement.

Several catalysts can shift ITA's weekly direction before Jun 12, 2026. Major defense contract announcements or government spending bills directly impact holdings like Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, and Boeing. Geopolitical tensions or international conflicts often boost defense demand. Earnings surprises from aerospace suppliers or prime contractors can trigger sharp moves. Federal Reserve policy shifts and interest-rate expectations affect valuations across the sector. Supply-chain disruptions, labor disputes, or regulatory changes also influence sentiment. Broader equity market volatility, tech sector rotation, and macroeconomic data releases can create headwinds or tailwinds for the entire defense complex.