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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

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2,681

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5

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39%

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Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
kalshi

Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in August

Volume:
$30,868

Above 94

 - Kalshi

Above 94 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 10:46 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 94

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,835
N/A
N/A
$2,877
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 96

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,448
N/A
N/A
$3,458
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 92

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,489
N/A
N/A
$992
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 106

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,139
N/A
N/A
$934
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,920
N/A
N/A
$1,535
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 108

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,737
N/A
N/A
$531
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 104

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,706
N/A
N/A
$1,348
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,563
N/A
N/A
$859
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,229
N/A
N/A
$455
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 93

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks Abercrombie & Fitch's credit card spending performance for August 2026, using a specialized index to compare spending levels against the same month in the previous year. The index reflects changes in consumer purchasing behavior, with values above 100 indicating growth compared to the prior year. The outcome depends on whether the reported index exceeds specific thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend index for August 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 94 to 110), and resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index exceeds its respective threshold. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, with 100 representing parity to the same month last year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. The data is derived from mobile location tracking across over 200 million devices, adjusted for seasonality, weather, and holidays, and updates daily as new information becomes available.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Abercrombie & Fitch credit card spend market tracks real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It provides a visual summary of how traders are pricing the likelihood of different spending outcomes for the brand in August. This view isolates activity solely on Kalshi, showing the current top outcome probability and total volume of $30,868. The chart updates continuously to reflect new bets and shifts in market sentiment.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of upcoming sales data. While analysts may incorporate a wide range of metrics and forward-looking estimates, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on recent news, consumer sentiment indicators, and short-term economic signals. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on market volatility, but the trader-driven approach frequently captures rapid shifts that formal reports may lag behind.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the officially reported credit card spend figures for Abercrombie & Fitch for August, as published in the company’s earnings release or SEC filings. Traders should monitor press releases and financial disclosures closely in the days leading up to resolution for any early indicators that might affect the result.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it settles. Key earnings announcements, same-store sales comparisons, and consumer confidence reports may all influence trader sentiment. Media coverage of fashion trends, inventory adjustments, or promotional events from Abercrombie & Fitch could also create volatility. Additionally, broader economic news such as interest rate decisions or changes in consumer spending habits may affect expectations for retail performance in the weeks ahead.