TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?
kalshi

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 28, 2026?

Volume:
$7,759

5.12% or above

 - Kalshi

5.12% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.12% or above

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.02% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$854
N/A
N/A
$754
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.1% or above

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$700
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.08% or above

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$671
N/A
N/A
$445
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.06% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$257
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.14% or above

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.98% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.96% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.04% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$157
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.16% or above

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,195
N/A
N/A
$842
Settled
No
kalshi

5.24% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

5.18% or above

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
No
kalshi

5.22% or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

5.2% or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the yield of 7-year U.S. Treasury bonds by setting different threshold levels for a specific date. Each market evaluates whether the yield surpasses a particular benchmark, offering varied perspectives on future interest rate expectations. The outcomes reflect varying degrees of yield increases, providing insight into economic forecasts.

Kalshi

These markets collectively assess whether the par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury exceeds specified thresholds on September 28, 2026. Each individual market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.95% to 5.23%. If the published yield for that date meets or exceeds the threshold designated for a specific market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets share a common expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official data release for September 28, 2026, or one week after September 28, 2026. This structure ensures timely resolution based on official data release schedules while providing participants multiple opportunities to bet on different yield levels, effectively creating a layered assessment of future interest rate conditions.