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404,028

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30,214

events

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2,681

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5

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7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
kalshi

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?

Volume:
$8,872

4.75% or above

 - Kalshi

4.75% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.75% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,614
N/A
N/A
$1,614
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.71% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,214
N/A
N/A
$1,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.73% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,214
N/A
N/A
$1,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.77% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.79% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.87% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$936
N/A
N/A
$636
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.89% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$661
N/A
N/A
$505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.81% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.85% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.83% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.91% or above

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$307
Settled
No
kalshi

4.95% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
No
kalshi

4.93% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

4.97% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

4.99% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of a key U.S. government bond by measuring whether its yield exceeds specific thresholds on a set date. Such yields reflect investor expectations about future economic conditions, including inflation and interest rate movements. The outcome provides insight into market sentiment and economic forecasts without involving direct market mechanics or specific counts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 21, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.70% to 4.98%. If the actual yield on that date is above the respective threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Expiration occurs at the sooner of 7:00 PM ET following the official data release for that date or one week after September 21, 2026, ensuring timely closure regardless of the specific threshold being tracked.