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404,028

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7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
kalshi

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?

Volume:
$7,928

4.89% or above

 - Kalshi

4.89% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.89% or above

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,018
N/A
N/A
$625
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.91% or above

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,260
N/A
N/A
$136
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.93% or above

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$989
N/A
N/A
$418
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.87% or above

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$766
N/A
N/A
$299
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.85% or above

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.75% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.83% or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
$170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.71% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.73% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.77% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.79% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.81% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.95% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,024
N/A
N/A
$633
Settled
No
kalshi

4.97% or above

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
$467
Settled
No
kalshi

4.99% or above

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the yield of 7-year U.S. Treasury bonds by setting different threshold levels for resolution. Each market assesses whether the yield surpasses a specific benchmark on a set date, reflecting varied investor expectations about interest rate changes.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury exceeds specified percentage thresholds on September 18, 2026. Each individual market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.70% to 4.98%, with a 'Yes' outcome if the yield surpasses its respective threshold. All markets share a common expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official data release for September 18, 2026, or one week after that date. This structure allows participants to evaluate varying degrees of yield movement, with each threshold acting as a distinct predictive point, while ensuring uniform timing rules govern resolution across all markets.