TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
kalshi

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?

Volume:
$6,938

4.87% or above

 - Kalshi

4.87% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.87% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,426
N/A
N/A
$704
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.85% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$837
N/A
N/A
$733
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.71% or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.73% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.83% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.81% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.75% or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.77% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.79% or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.89% or above

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,571
N/A
N/A
$1,054
Settled
No
kalshi

4.91% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,021
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

4.97% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

4.93% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

4.95% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

4.99% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of a key U.S. government bond on a specific future date, reflecting potential shifts in interest rates and economic expectations. The outcome depends on whether the yield for a specific Treasury note surpasses various thresholds, offering multiple perspectives on potential rate movements.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 14, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.70% to 4.98%. If the actual yield on that date is above the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the release of the relevant data for September 14, 2026, or one week after September 14, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration rule, ensuring consistency across differing yield thresholds.