TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a key U.S. government bond on a specific future date, reflecting potential shifts in interest rates and economic expectations. The outcome depends on whether the yield for a specific Treasury note surpasses various thresholds, offering multiple perspectives on potential rate movements.
All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on September 14, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.70% to 4.98%. If the actual yield on that date is above the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the release of the relevant data for September 14, 2026, or one week after September 14, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration rule, ensuring consistency across differing yield thresholds.