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7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 28, 2026?
kalshi

7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 28, 2026?

Volume:
$4,387

4.55% or above

 - Kalshi

4.55% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.55% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$776
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.53% or above

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$722
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.57% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$157
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.51% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.45% or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
$138
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.47% or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.49% or above

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.59% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.41% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.43% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.61% or above

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
No
kalshi

4.65% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

4.63% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

4.67% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

4.69% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the yield of 7-year U.S. Treasury bonds by setting various threshold levels. Each market assesses whether the yield surpasses a specific benchmark on a set date, offering insights into expectations about interest rate trends and broader economic conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on August 28, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, incrementally increasing by 0.02 percentage points from 4.40% to 4.68%. If the yield for that date is above the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Expiration occurs at the sooner of 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the data release for August 28, 2026, or one week after August 28, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration rule, ensuring consistent timing across the series.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the 7Y Treasury yield market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different yield levels as of Aug 28, 2026. The page updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment and trading volume through $4,387 in total volume and $3,769 in 24-hour volume.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations, incorporating both public sentiment and trader positioning. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on economic indicators, this market offers a real-time, crowd-sourced probability that can diverge based on trader behavior and emerging news.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by placing bets for or against specific yield outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with price movements driven by new information, trading volume, and shifts in market expectations. As Aug 28, 2026 approaches, this dynamic process captures how participants anticipate changes in the 7-year Treasury yield based on economic indicators and Federal Reserve policy.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yield level will be determined by authoritative financial data sources at the close of trading on that day, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Key signals that could shift this market include major Federal Reserve policy announcements, unexpected changes in inflation data, shifts in global risk sentiment, and significant movements in broader bond market yields. Any surprise economic reports or geopolitical developments that affect investor appetite for fixed-income assets may also cause rapid re-pricing in this market.